Tag Archive | "Economy"

Elizabeth Warren, thank you


I make no money from my Creative Commons photography, but the payoffs come in ways that aren’t financial.  One is that with every person I photograph, I’m in a situation where I have the opportunity to say something to that person.

I almost never take advantage of this.  It’s somewhat unprofessional: these people are there to have their pictures taken, and I’m there to take them.  Neither of us is there to discuss whatever.  Idle chatter does not go down well with photographers because it hamstrings our ability to shoot photographs.

Besides, what to say when one has perhaps 20 seconds for an interaction?

When I photographed David Bowie, my all-time favorite musician and someone whose work impacted my life a good deal, I said nothing to him.

“I really love your music” wouldn’t have cut it in the moments we had, and who knows if his reaction to such a cliche would have hurt my own cherished, personal “David Bowie”.

But with Elizabeth Warren it was different.

Amongst the 100 Most Influential People in the World, she was the only person to whom I had something to say because I love Elizabeth Warren.

I love the person I see in the media; I love that she does so much good; I love the voice and tone that she uses to say the things that she does; and I love how gently matter-of-fact she is about it all.

I went to law school, but I also love that I would only need a high school education to understand the arguments that she makes on behalf of mainstream Americans (and against the shenanigans of Wall Street).

If you ever have said to yourself, “You know, I really should bone up on what needs to be done to fix the whole Wall Street mess” then Google Elizabeth Warren and look for her television appearances.  She’s speaking for you, she’s speaking for me, and even though they may not know it yet, she is speaking for Wall Street.

Our financial sector, the entire global economy, only functions with trust and faith; damage it, and nobody trusts that the things you sell may be okay to buy.

Think Chinese toothpaste and toys; American financial products are in danger of the same reputation if we don’t clean up how they are made.

So what did I say to Elizabeth Warren when I had the opportunity?  “Elizabeth!  Thank you!  You do such good work!  Thank you!“  And then I took the portrait that you see above.

Learn why I love her–and why you should too–by watching this clip from the May 3rd Stephen Colbert (whom I photographed in 2007, but to whom I also said nothing):

The Colbert Report Mon – Thurs 11:30pm / 10:30c
Elizabeth Warren
www.colbertnation.com
Colbert Report Full Episodes Political Humor Fox News

Click here to see my Time 100 Creative Commons portraits at Flickr.

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Will lying backfire on McConnell and the Republicans?


The conservative philosophy has done a lot to make America great (as has the liberal philosophy); but something is incredibly wrong with the country when one or the other does not mind simply lying to advance its goals.

If you can’t beat ideas with the truth, then maybe your own ideas are pretty bad.

The thing is, most Americans don’t like to feel stupid, and whenever people willingly believe lies and deception, it makes them the very definition of ignorant (actually, willfully ignorant). That might be fine for the 25% of America that is the Republican hardcore base–whatever happened to Christian values?–but most Americans eventually turn their back on the people who don’t tell them the truth. Voters don’t like that.

Editorial: Greed is not good
The Philadelphia Inquirer

Defeating any initiative of President Obama’s is the GOP’s preferred course these days. And so Republican senators are decrying more bailouts for big, bad banks while meeting behind closed doors with Wall Street executives and pocketing all the campaign contributions they can grab from banks.

Opposing Obama in this case would give Republican lawmakers a twofer by thwarting proposed regulation of an industry that historically has been friendly to their candidates. Since 1990, 60 percent of the bankers’ campaign donations have gone to the GOP. Small wonder that McConnell’s recent private meeting with Wall Street moguls included Sen. John Cornyn of Texas, the Senate Republicans’ campaign chairman for this year’s elections.

Fake populists in the GOP take us all for suckers
Jay Bookman, Atlanta Journal-Constitution

A while back, I wondered how the Republicans were going to both defend their buddies on Wall Street while simultaneously placating their Tea Party constituents to whom helping Wall Street is anathema. How could they manage both?

I should have known the answer: Lie. Lie often, lie repeatedly, lie shamelessly.

It’s now clear that Wall Street bitterly opposes the financial reform bill proposed by congressional Democrats. After meeting with Wall Street leaders, Republicans such as Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell have made it equally clear that they too will oppose the financial reform bill.

So how do the Republicans plan to sell that approach to Americans sickened by Wall Street’s arrogance and selfishness?

By claiming that it’s the Democrats who are siding with Wall Street. While they do the Street’s bidding and collect the Street’s campaign money, the Republicans intend to cast themselves as the populists who side with Main Street over Wall Street.

Obama: McConnell’s Arguments on Financial Regulation ‘Cynical and Deceptive’
Jake Trapper, ABC News

“The leader of the Senate Republicans and the chair of the Republican Senate Campaign Committee met with two dozen top Wall Street executives to talk about how to block progress on this issue,” Obama said. “Lo and behold, when he returned to Washington, the Senate Republican leader came out against the common-sense reforms we’ve proposed. In doing so, he made the cynical and deceptive assertion that reform would somehow enable future bailouts – when he knows that it would do just the opposite.” [....]

Today, Obama countered, “We’re going to put in place new rules so that big banks and financial institutions will pay for the bad decisions they make – not taxpayers. Simply put, this means no more taxpayer bailouts.”

Borderline-Useless Senate Democrat Suddenly Interested in Regulating Wall Street
Alex Pareene, Gawker

We know that the GOP has already begun to engage in attacks so ridiculous that it will make “death panels” look like responsible policy debate. And we know that when Mitch McConnell says something that is literally the precise opposite of the truth, it will lead to a lot of people debating whether or not his blatant lie was “fair” or not, and responsible, respectable outlets will say “most experts dispute McConnell’s characterization of the financial regulation bill currently under consideration” instead of saying “Mitch McConnell is a shameless liar.” [...]

Hah, and there was word earlier today Republican Susan Collins, formerly of the “one of the good ones” caucus, had not signed on to the letter from Mitch McConnell about how all the Republicans hate the financial regulation bill because it is “permanent bailouts,” that talking point we mentioned earlier that is actually literally the exact precise opposite of the truth, but it looks like she’s signed on! They’re all fucking idiots. Once again, the political calculations trump everything else. America’s Senate still proudly broken!

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2010 the Year of Anger Management?


In their “World in 2010″ annual almanac of predictions, the Economist looks at whether this will be a year of social unrest, and included is the map below as a helpful guide to countries at the greatest risk:

2010 the Year of Social Unrest The Economist

I highly recommend you purchase this almanac for a good overview of where the world is more-or-less heading.  In the accompanying article on this particular topic, Laza Kekic of the Economist Intelligence Unit writes the following:

[A] congruence of calamities could prove politically tempestuous: a sharp rise in unemployment, increased poverty and inequality, weakened middle classes and high food prices in many countries. Austerity is also on the agenda in 2010 following the extreme fiscal relaxation of 2009.

Historically, political reactions to economic distress have tended to come with a lag. The same is true of labour-market developments: even once the recession ends, unemployment continues to rise. According to Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) estimates, in 2010 there will be 60m more unemployed worldwide than in 2008. The International Labour Organisation reckons some 200m workers are at risk of joining the ranks of people living on less than $2 a day.

Declines in incomes are not always followed by political instability. Vulnerability to unrest depends on a host of factors. These include the degree of income inequality, the state of governance, levels of social provision, ethnic tensions, public trust in institutions, the history of unrest and the type of political system (“intermediate” regimes that are neither consolidated democracies nor autocracies seem the most vulnerable).

Something to watch.

Brazil’s position in the low combustibility category mirrors the magazine’s recent profile of the continuing boom of the country:

Latin America’s largest economy is enjoying its best moment for a long time. One of the last countries to enter the global downturn started by the financial sector in 2007, Brazil was also one of the first to come out of it. For the first time in its history it has found a combination of economic growth, low inflation and full democracy—and the good fortune looks set to continue.

The story reminded me of a 2007 article I read in the New York Times about Brazilian immigrants to the U.S. who were emigrating back to Brazil:

That decision — to give up on life in the United States — is being made by more and more Brazilians across the country, according to consular officials, travel agencies swamped by one-way ticket bookings, and community leaders in the neighborhoods that Brazilian immigrants have transformed, from Boston to Pompano Beach, Fla.

No one can say how many are leaving. But in the last half year, the reverse migration has become unmistakable among Brazilians in the United States, a population estimated at 1.1 million by Brazil’s government — four to five times the official census figures.

To explain an often wrenching decision to pull up stakes, homeward-bound Brazilians point to a rising fear of deportation and a slumping American economy. Many cite the expiration of driver’s licenses that can no longer be renewed under tougher rules, coupled with the steep drop in the value of the dollar against the currency of Brazil, where the economy has improved.

Brazil’s ascendency is nothing but good news for the Western Hemisphere.

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The new global era is here, it ain’t pretty, and cable news hurts us all


global_economic_crisisI’m an avid reader of The Economist, and in this week’s edition the article that jumped out at me was “A needier era“, which details how some–including me–think the new global economic realities are going to re-shape our politics:

THE 1990s was “the age of abundance”, argued Brink Lindsey in a book of that title. Round the world, incomes were rising; capital markets were processing endless flows of money and investment; technological gains meant that ever more information was available ever more cheaply. And politics in the age of abundance, Mr Lindsey claimed, was all about values. In America this was the period of the “culture wars” over abortion and gun ownership; internationally, there was a huge expansion in concern over human rights.

One of the biggest problems America faces is that many of its citizens, both liberal and conservative, are stuck on culture wars that feed their anger, instead of focusing on the reality that our current economic system is unsustainable.  Our focus on voting for people for their views about abortion, gun rights and gay marriage has given us a crop of leaders who are ill-prepared to take on the real challenges that we face.

The 2010s, it is sometimes said, will be an age of scarcity. The warning signs of change are said to be the food-price spike of 2007-08, the bid by China and others to grab access to oil, iron ore and farmland and the global recession. The main problems of scarcity are water and food shortages, demographic change and state failure.

One of the challenges America faces as a country is how we choose to inform ourselves, which is mostly by the cable news channels.  Fox News and MSNBC (as well as the rest of them) are corrosive influences on all of us.  For those like myself, who don’t watch them, we still have to deal with the foolish liberals and conservatives who do and form their opinions based upon cable news demagoguery.

[Authors of a report at the Center on International Cooperation] claim that the current global system is ill-designed for such a world. It is not just that the foreign policies of big countries are in flux. Rather, the way states deal with new threats is, in the jargon, “stove-piped”.  As a UN panel said in 2004, “finance ministers tend to work only with the international financial institutions, development ministers only with development programmes.”

The authors say that what is needed is not merely institutional tinkering but a different frame of mind. Governments, they say, should think more in terms of reducing risk and increasing resilience to shocks than about boosting sovereign power. This is because they think power may not be the best way for states to defend themselves against a new kind of threat: the sort that comes not from other states but networks of states and non-state actors, or from the unintended consequences of global flows of finance, technology and so on.

What’s the first thing that you, as an individual, can do to start preparing for this new world?  Stop watching the cable news channels.  Stop listening to the Olbermanns and Hannitys, who do little else but incite your rage (and I have it too, but it has to be tempered).  Right now, we don’t need an angry populace.  We need a calm citizenry that takes time to learn about the economic issues that we face, rolls up its sleeves and gets to work fixing them.  You might not like abortion, and you may think gay marriage is all about equal rights, but if there is widespread economic collapse, these issues are going to be irrelevant to the world we face.

Do yourself and the rest of us a favor:  Stop watching cable news.

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Michigan tries to re-brand itself


File:Empire State Building by David Shankbone.jpg

Michigan could learn from Gotham's rebirth.

Miriam Greenberg’s piece in the Brooklyn Rail on New York City is a fascinating read about re-branding a hellhole.  Greenberg illustrated New York’s bottom with a brilliant anecdote: upset over a series of Alitalia Airlines ads in 1971 predicting that New York City was going to disappear (and specified a date).

The airline was promoting its new non-stop Philadelphia service.  The ads displayed ominous images such as the Statue of Liberty sinking in a national media campaign to alert passengers that they no longer needed to connect through Kennedy:

That these over-the-top ads were at once so strangely believable and politically volatile reveals both the deep anxiety that they tapped into and the wider, inter-textual universe in which they emerged. They invoked the trepidation, even dread, with which the “average tourist” now boarded their New York City-bound planes, buses, and trains. And they were only the latest addition to a vivid and disturbing set of images portraying New York City as a sinking, dying metropolis, imagery that was seen repeatedly in magazines, newspapers, movies, and the TV news, and which—in combination with real events on the ground—was to help shape the public perception of the city for a generation.

New York City’s huge comeback from the 1970′s is now the standard playbook for how places with damaged reputations can bounce back (the Israeli government uses it as a model).

The Economist had a story about struggling Michigan, one of the worst-off states in America, and their attempts to re-brand and attract tourists:

The news out of Michigan has been relentlessly gloomy. The one area in which Michigan leads the country has been its unemployment rate—15.2% in June, compared with a national average of 9.5%. But in recent months Michigan has tried to present a more cheerful message. A $10m tourism campaign, aired on national television from March to June, was the state’s most ambitious yet. Though Michigan faces a $1.7 billion deficit, new bills propose to raise money for more promotion.

Here’s one of the commercials that is part of the new campaign, Pure Michigan:

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Quote of the day: Obama’s Consumer Protection Agency


Confused about Obama’s new regulatory proposals for the financial industry that virtually destroyed the global economy?  One is a Consumer Protection Agency.  John Ydstie, National Public Radio’s economics correspondent, does an excellent job of explaining it all.

This new agency would look at [things like interest-only balloon payment mortgages] and, I guess sort of modeled after the Consumer Product Safety Commission, which says, ‘Hey, you can’t sell a toaster that burns down a house,’ and they would say, ‘Hey, you can’t sell a mortgage that makes someone lose a house.’ – John Ydstie, National Public Radio’s economic correspondent

Listen to the the full explanation at NPR here.

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The end of the suburbs? Urbanists predict their demise


File:Suburbia by David Shankbone.jpg

Is this the end of lawns and cul-de-sacs?

The economic depression George Bush delivered to the United States has reached even the suburbs of his new home, Dallas.  According to the Dallas Morning News, suburban north Texas cities are contending with lower sales tax revenues have slowed, mixed with home foreclosures and job losses.

Urban theorist Richard Florida, who raised a lot hairs on necks with his controversial book, The Rise of the Creative Class, believes that this is not a temporary situation.  Florida thinks the economy needs to “reset” itself, and in Class he argues that compact cities full of creative people will be the engine of economic growth this century.

I came across Florida years ago when Class was a hot topic.  Recently, though, I found my photograph of the Colorado Springs suburbs–a vast aberration known as “Briargate” that is populated with evangelical megachurchers–over on Slog in a post about Florida.  Charle Mudede highlighed Florida’s piece in the March issue of The Atlantic, “How the Crush Will Reshape America”.  In it Florida argues that now is the time to push policies that benefit urban centers at the expense of the suburbs:

The solution begins with the removal of homeownership from its long-privileged place at the center of the U.S. economy. Substantial incentives for homeownership (from tax breaks to artificially low mortgage-interest rates) distort demand, encouraging people to buy bigger houses than they otherwise would. That means less spending on medical technology, or software, or alternative energy—the sectors and products that could drive U.S. growth and exports in the coming years. Artificial demand for bigger houses also skews residential patterns, leading to excessive low-density suburban growth. The measures that prop up this demand should be eliminated.

Mudede jumps on this.  He launches into a prediction that the suburbs are going the way of the Dodo:

We are watching the twilight of sprawl. Experts, from the treasurer down, understand that America is entering another form of capitalism (or socialism, which is the truth of capitalism—the moment capital does not need the social forces of production and consumption, the general intellect, is the moment I’ll call it capitalism for real), and the economic restructuring will have an actual impact on the production of space—how and where land is used. In the near future, we can expect (or hope) that suburban houses, the monsters of the earth, will be the dinosaurs of an extinct economic age.

I am all for people living in cities for all the same reasons as Florida, but I think Mudede overshoots his load with this prediction.  There is just no evidence that people want to give up their lawns.  People absolutely love them, and they love envisioning their children riding bikes down the cul-de-sac.

Recent surveys show that suburbanites are happier than their companions in the cities, and that they like their communities.  Political power remains in the hands of the suburbs, and they are the ones who elected Barack Obama.  No smart politician will pursue a policy that will penalize them.

While housing growth in the last decade was strong in urban areas, the suburbs still far surpassed them.  But with the mortgage crisis, many suburbs around the country are becoming ghost towns, like Elk Grove, Calif., and Windy Ridge, N.C.   That leaves a lot of McMansions and new developments totally empty.  What will happen to them?   Michael Cannell at Fast Company writes:

Already low or middle-income families priced out of cities and better neighborhoods are moving into McMansions divided for multi-family use. Alison Arieff, who blogs for The New York Times, visited one such tract mansion that was split into four units, or “quartets,” each with its own entrance, which is not unlike what happened to many stately homes in the 1930s. The difference, of course, is that the 1930s homes held up because they were made with solid materials, and today’s spec homes are all hollow doors, plastic columns and faux stone facades. There is also speculation that subdivision homes could be dismantled and sold for scrap now that a mini-industry for repurposed lumber and other materials has evolved over the last few years. Around the periphery of these discussions is the specter of the suburb as a ghost town patrolled by squatters and looters, as if Mad Max had come to the cul-de-sac.

The demise of the suburb has been predicted and hoped for since Levittown’s first white family.   Even today with people like Richard Florida barnstorming the blogosphere, dreamers still envision the future perfect suburb.  According to TheMoveChannel, an outfit in Victoria, Australia called The Lab wants to plan a Melbourne burb with no cars, an 80 per cent reduction in carbon emissions and the ability to grow its own food.

Instead of the suburbans declining, I see a parity between them and the cities.  The suburbs have dominated America’s cultural and political landscape for the fifty years at the expense of the cities.  But just because the cities have rebounded, it does not mean the suburbs are going anywhere.  People like that lifestyle.

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Credit card debt defaults are “next meltdown”


dollar_sign_melting13Credit card defaults may be “the next meltdown,” according to Gregory Larkin at research firm Innovest Strategic Value Advisors.    MSNBC reports that Innovest estimates credit card issuers took a $41 billion hit from defaulted debt in 2008 and that they’ll face a whopping $96 billion loss in 2009.

It’s no small secret that Americans have been living beyond their means for a long time.   Even while they wallow in debt, Americans continue to see a spot of spare credit as “found money”, even after the disaster of home equity loans.  Just as worrying as the home mortgage crisis is the spouting spigot of credit card debt that the banks unleashed upon the masses.  No surprise: the big banks are the ones who have been the loosest with lending consumer loans.  CNN spotlights the problem:  $76 billion in credit card loans in 2008, nearly $46 billion came from Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup alone, according to credit rating agency Moody’s.   :

Of the nearly $76 billion in credit card loans in 2008, nearly $46 billion came from Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup alone, according to credit rating agency Moody’s.  Fearing a wave of credit card-related losses, banks have been aggressively setting aside funds to help cushion the blow. One problem, note analysts, is that banks aren’t quite sure just how severe the losses will be.   Industry charge-offs, or loans a bank considers to be uncollectable, climbed to a historic high of 7.73% in December. Most analysts expect that figure to head higher as more and more people find themselves out of work.  Unemployment rates, widely viewed as the most reliable indicator of future credit card losses, climbed to 8.1% in February – its highest level in 25 years.

The credit rating agency Fitch has already predicted a record number of delinquencies, with U.S. Consumer ABS Senior Director Cynthia Ullrich stating that, “As the unemployment rate accelerates and consumers’ ability to service their debt weakens, Fitch anticipates that gross chargeoffs will surpass 8.5% by mid-year and approach 9% by year end.”

That’s pretty huge.  Already the Minneapolis Star-Tribune has reported that there are record numbers of credit card defaults in Minnesota, 39 percent more than in 2007 (a record year) and 133 percent higher than 2006.

What are the banks doing?  Raising interest rates on the hardest hit, which makes no sense.  From MSNBC:

Yet banks and credit card companies may be contributing to their own problems by raising interest rates, suggests BusinessWeek, pushing already-struggling consumers even further toward default or debt relief options like credit card debt settlement and bankruptcy. A survey of major credit card issuers by consumer advocacy group Consumer Action found that 37 percent of companies have raised their interest rates across the board, even for consumers with relatively strong credit histories.

Some card companies are trying a different approach:  paying high-risk debtors to reduce the amount they owe or paying them to close their accounts.  USA Today reports that American Express is giving some of its consumers $300 if they pay off their balances and close their accounts;  Citigroup and CompuCredit are offering a credit to reduce debt for borrowers who agree to pay far higher minimums than they are required to do.

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Chocolate energy – Lindt, Public Service test cocoa power plant


 

PORTSMOUTH, NEW HAMPSHIRE – A few years ago the headlines were about chocolate-fueled trucks in Timbuktu.  Now Lindt USA and Public Service of New Hampshire want to use chocolate to light your homes. 

The chocolate maker, based in nearby Stratham, and its utility together devised and tested a new fuel mix comprised of one part cocoa bean = 33 parts coal.  In all, they burned 18 tons of beans to see how well it produced electricity in a boiler.  If the test results are positive, they may fire up the cocoa power plant and turn the bean shells into garden mulch, making this the only cocoa bean-to-energy project in the United States. 

According to the Portsmouth Herald News, the plant was two years in the making and required a lot of state permits for the test, which, if successful.  According to Peter Breed, manager of engineering at Lindt, based in nearby Stratham, the company hopes for success.  "If not, the beans would be going into a landfill or possibly composted, but then (we) have to find someone who wants to deal with them," said Breed.

However, CleanTechnica.com remains skeptical about how clean this chocolate power plant will be for the air:

Consultants spent the day testing emissions and it’s not immediately clear when results will be available. But the mixture is still 33 parts coal to one part shells, so it’s hard to imagine results will be too radically different. And after all, we’re still talking about burning coal. You can cover the coal in a scrumptious chocolate shell, but it’s still coal.

Biofuels, once seen as the next wave in energy advancement, are now controversial.  Some, such as corn ethanol, simply do not produce enough energy to merit the energy that goes into make the fuel itself.  Some critics argue that producing biofuels–particularly the high-energy output sugar ethanol–encourages the destruction of rain forests.

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In tough job market, dirty deeds done dirt cheap


Somebody has to clean it...

Somebody has to clean it...

The folks in Ludington, Michigan like to turn lemons into lemonade.  According to local ABC television affiliate WZZM, over a year ago the SS Badger, the Lake Michigan car ferry that shuttles between Ludington and Manitowoc, Wisconsin, wanted the Discovery Channel‘s “Dirty Jobs” program to spotlight this floating historic site.  But the producers said they would only come to Ludington if there was more than one dirty job.  Now Ludington is tap-dancing in front of the Dirty Jobs producers again, hoping to score some national exposure with local businesses involved in “removing skunks, packing meat, getting rid of sea lamprey, cleaning heat ducts or making pesticides .

Ludington may want to be careful what it wishes for, because it just might get a flood of immigrants desperate for any job that skunk removal might not be so bad.  According to NPR, the unemployment in the country has made dirty jobs (the ones that used to be described as ones only immigrants would do) are back en vogue.

That was NPR’s point, focusing on the Cascade Humane Society in Jackson, also in Michigan.  According to the non-profit’s executive director, Debra Carmody, they have been inundated with over-qualified people for a few recent jobs:

Jobs are scarce in Michigan and the state’s unemployment rate of 10.6 percent is the highest in the nation.

“They almost all had college degrees, many of them had master’s degrees,” Carmody says of those applying for jobs at her animal shelter. “There were two or three former executive directors of nonprofits.

“The one that really blew me away was we had one attorney.”

Go here to listen to the full story about the return of dirty work.

A sign of the times is the stories about people dumbing-down their resumes to get lower jobs.  Adweek warns that people who might be willing to a take a huge pay cut and a lower status “may not get the job because they’re overqualified“. As if picking up that bugle, McClatchy Newspapers sent out local reporters in its empire to write these stories.  The Cleveland Plain-Dealer ran McClatchy story that told us, “Adapting to lean times, résumés also get leaner”.  The Akron Beacon Journal ran a McClatchy story “Job seekers tone down resumes – Professionals leave out titles, degrees so they don’t seem overqualified”.   The Dallas Morning News re-ran McClatchy’s Charlotte Observer story, “Interview Seekers Omit Details on Resumes”.  The Seattle Times ran a McClatchy story that intoned “Overqualified applicants flooding the job market”.

What’s all this mean?  Probably that people are dumbing down resumes, but only one news company is the main source behind all the headlines.

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